In science, the exercise of prediction is key to confronting hypotheses (Wasserman, 2017 [1]). In that sense, when a prediction is not fulfilled, the hypothesis is disproved without appeal. In climatology, predictions (in the spatial context) and projections […]
Third quarter of 2018 For the mid-year low rainy season (June 16 - August 15), under the incidence of mild to moderate warming of the surface waters of the equatorial Pacific Ocean, rains are expected […]
Third quarter of 2017 Under warm conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, in the second season of low rains of the year (Jun 16 - Aug 15) rains between 20% and 50% are expected below the usual for the time, [ …]
Fourth quarter 2016. The major climatic anomalies that characterized 2015 gradually weakened during the first half of 2016, with which the climatic variables returned to their normal values or very close to them in the second half […]
Second half 2016 Second dry season (low rainfall) - June 16 to August 15: normal or higher temperatures than usual (0.5-1.0 ° C) and an average rainfall for the valley of the Cauca near expected values [ ...]
Second, third and fourth quarters of 2016. First season of high rains: It is expected to begin, late, in the second decade of April and to continue, under normal conditions, until the end of May.
Its evolution shows that it can outperform El Niño 1997-1998
Fourth quarter of 2015 and first semester of 2016 Second season of high rains of 2015: started in mid-October, with a delay of approximately two weeks. It is expected to finish earlier than usual, towards the end of November […]
What happened? What's next? How is the climate of the Cauca River affected by El Niño? Does the intensity of the phenomenon determine the effect on the climate?
The climate during 2015 in the Cauca River Valley has been and will continue to be influenced by El Niño present in the equatorial Pacific Ocean since October 2014.
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