In science, the exercise of prediction is key to confronting hypotheses (Wasserman, 2017[1]). In that sense, when a prediction does not come true, the hypothesis is refuted without appeal. In
Third quarter of 2018 For the mid-year low rain season (June 16 – August 15), under the incidence of mild to moderate warming of
Third quarter of 2017 Under warm conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, in the second low rain season of the year (June 16-Aug. 15), rainfall between 20% is expected
Fourth quarter of 2016. The large climatic anomalies that characterized 2015 gradually weakened during the first half of 2016, with which the climatic variables returned to their values
Second half of 2016 Second dry season (low rains) – June 16 to August 15: normal or higher temperatures than usual (0.5-1.0°C) and average precipitation are expected
Second, third and fourth quarters of 2016. First high rain season: It is expected to begin, late, in the second decade of April and to continue, already low
Its evolution shows that it can outperform El Niño 1997-1998
Fourth quarter of 2015 and first half of 2016 Second high rain season of 2015: began around mid-October, with a delay of approximately two weeks. It is expected that
What happened? What's next? How is the climate of the Cauca River affected by El Niño? Does the intensity of the phenomenon determine the effect on the climate?
The climate during 2015 in the Cauca River Valley has been and will continue to be influenced by El Niño present in the equatorial Pacific Ocean since October 2014.
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