Climate projection for the Cauca River Valley, Nov. 2015

Fourth quarter of 2015 and first half of 2016 

Second season of high rains of 2015: it started in mid-October, with a delay of approximately two weeks. It is expected to end earlier than usual, towards the end of November or the beginning of December. For this season rainfall between normal and a little below (70% - 120%) is expected with respect to the climatological averages for the time.

Fourth quarter of 2015 and first half of 2016

Second season of high rains of 2015: it started in mid-October, with a delay of approximately two weeks. It is expected to end earlier than usual, towards the end of November or the beginning of December. For this season rainfall between normal and a little below (70% - 120%) is expected with respect to the climatological averages for the time.

First dry season at the end and beginning of the year: It will start earlier, towards the end of November or the beginning of December and will run until the end of February or the beginning of March.

Under the influence of El Niño at its maximum development, rains are expected to reach between 50% and 80% of the average climatological values ​​in the region.

First season of high rains of 2016: It will last from the beginning of April to the beginning or mid-June and will present, in sum, amounts of precipitation close to the normal values ​​for the time (80% -120% of the climatological averages).

Source::

Enrique Cortés, Cenicaña meteorologist • Date of preparation: 16/11/2015

Information letter
3 Year / 2 Number / July of 2015

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